Had a bit of a struggle last Saturday. Ready to move on with plenty of winners today. Light card for the AM. Be sure to check back for part 2.
Top Picks
Marshall -23.5 vs Middle Tenn. St
Duke +2, +125 first half
Ga Tech -3.5 full game
Leans
Minnesota/NU under 44.5
Marshall- First, until someone stops them I am going to stay with them. Plus they have a revenge angle in play as well. I am expecting another blowout.
Ga Tech/Marshall- I expect Duke to come out well prepared and grab the early lead. However I do like Ga Tech to start to take control of this game and turn the tide and put it away in the 4th quarter. Take Duke first half and Tech for the game. If there is live betting on this game, look to get Ga Tech + points when they get down early.
Minnesota/NU- Neither team has shown a dynamic offense so I am rolling with the under here.
Saturday, October 11, 2014
Saturday, October 4, 2014
College Football Picks 10/4 Part 2
Here are my afternoon and evening plays:
5 Star Plays:
Georgia Tech -2 vs. Miami
Washington St -3 vs Cal
Top Plays
NIU -26 vs Kent St
Leans
Rutgers -2 vs Michigan
Pittsburgh +5.5 vs Virginia
Ga Tech- I really like Ga Tech's situation here. They are coming off rest and Miami is coming off two pretty tough games. Tech should be laying in wait for them. I like Tech's offense better this year than the last 2 where I thought their head coach was getting fancy and now has returned to the triple option without the extra bells and whistles. Miami has played pretty well on defense however their offense has been stagnant. I expect Tech's defense to slow Miami and for their offense to break through today in an easy win.
Washington St- Another situational play here. I was certainly happy to see Cal get win #3 last week however it took a momentous effort. A reason that they struggled against Colorado was they were flat from having made a similar momentous effort the week before against Arizona. Bottom line is that their tank will be empty and they are on the road this week and those add up to a bad loss for the Bears.
NIU- The Huskies finally return to DeKalb after 3 straight away games. They will be eager to get conference play underway and will make quick work of a Kent team that has not found any offensive rhythym,
Rutgers- Jumping on the anti Michigan bandwagon here. Perhaps Michigan can pull it together but I doubt it at this point.
Pittsburgh- Virginia playing the toughest schedule in the country will be trouble in this one. Pitt will come in confident and has had more rest which will pay dividend in this game. Take the points and put some money on the $ line as well.
5 Star Plays:
Georgia Tech -2 vs. Miami
Washington St -3 vs Cal
Top Plays
NIU -26 vs Kent St
Leans
Rutgers -2 vs Michigan
Pittsburgh +5.5 vs Virginia
Ga Tech- I really like Ga Tech's situation here. They are coming off rest and Miami is coming off two pretty tough games. Tech should be laying in wait for them. I like Tech's offense better this year than the last 2 where I thought their head coach was getting fancy and now has returned to the triple option without the extra bells and whistles. Miami has played pretty well on defense however their offense has been stagnant. I expect Tech's defense to slow Miami and for their offense to break through today in an easy win.
Washington St- Another situational play here. I was certainly happy to see Cal get win #3 last week however it took a momentous effort. A reason that they struggled against Colorado was they were flat from having made a similar momentous effort the week before against Arizona. Bottom line is that their tank will be empty and they are on the road this week and those add up to a bad loss for the Bears.
NIU- The Huskies finally return to DeKalb after 3 straight away games. They will be eager to get conference play underway and will make quick work of a Kent team that has not found any offensive rhythym,
Rutgers- Jumping on the anti Michigan bandwagon here. Perhaps Michigan can pull it together but I doubt it at this point.
Pittsburgh- Virginia playing the toughest schedule in the country will be trouble in this one. Pitt will come in confident and has had more rest which will pay dividend in this game. Take the points and put some money on the $ line as well.
College Football Picks 10/4 Part 1
Well had a profitable weekend last weekend on the back of a 5 star play. Looking for a big day today.
Starting out with these games.
Top Picks:
Marshall -19.5 vs ODU
Stanford -2.5 vs ND
Alabama/Ole Miss over 52.5\
Air Force +3.5 vs Navy
Northwestern/Wisconsin over 47
Leans:
Mississippi St -2.5 vs. Texas A&M
E. Carolina -41 vs SMU
Texas +14.5 vs. Baylor
Have at least one maybe 2, 5 stars plays coming up
Marshall- I made a mistake and went against the Thundering Herd earlier this year and got trampled. ODU is playing good ball and will put up a fight however they won't be able to hang with Marshall over the course of the game.
Stanford- This is pretty much based on the line. Vegas made the Cardinal a favorite on the road against a higher ranked team. Rolling with Vegas on this one.
Bama/Ole Miss- Both of these teams have been relying on their offenses to win. I expect that to continue today and this game gets over.
Air Force- Should be a good game. Both teams want this victory however I think the homefield will be the difference here and AF gets the SU victory.
Northwestern/Wisconsin- This should be another good game with 2 teams that do not like each other. I like both teams to be effcient in the red zone and come away with more TD's than FG's to get the over.
Miss. St- It seems like everyone is on the bulldogs which made me downgrade this to a lean. Nevertheless, Miss St is rested and will be ready. A&M will compete but ultimately will fall on the road.
E. Carolina- I have been on the anti SMU bandwagon and it has paid off. Staying with it as ECU should score at will but am a little concerned that they Pirates will call off the dogs too early in this one.
Texas- Charlie Strong will have a great game plan for this one. The question will be can his team execute. I say yes but will not get too carried away in case Baylor does get on a roll.
Starting out with these games.
Top Picks:
Marshall -19.5 vs ODU
Stanford -2.5 vs ND
Alabama/Ole Miss over 52.5\
Air Force +3.5 vs Navy
Northwestern/Wisconsin over 47
Leans:
Mississippi St -2.5 vs. Texas A&M
E. Carolina -41 vs SMU
Texas +14.5 vs. Baylor
Have at least one maybe 2, 5 stars plays coming up
Marshall- I made a mistake and went against the Thundering Herd earlier this year and got trampled. ODU is playing good ball and will put up a fight however they won't be able to hang with Marshall over the course of the game.
Stanford- This is pretty much based on the line. Vegas made the Cardinal a favorite on the road against a higher ranked team. Rolling with Vegas on this one.
Bama/Ole Miss- Both of these teams have been relying on their offenses to win. I expect that to continue today and this game gets over.
Air Force- Should be a good game. Both teams want this victory however I think the homefield will be the difference here and AF gets the SU victory.
Northwestern/Wisconsin- This should be another good game with 2 teams that do not like each other. I like both teams to be effcient in the red zone and come away with more TD's than FG's to get the over.
Miss. St- It seems like everyone is on the bulldogs which made me downgrade this to a lean. Nevertheless, Miss St is rested and will be ready. A&M will compete but ultimately will fall on the road.
E. Carolina- I have been on the anti SMU bandwagon and it has paid off. Staying with it as ECU should score at will but am a little concerned that they Pirates will call off the dogs too early in this one.
Texas- Charlie Strong will have a great game plan for this one. The question will be can his team execute. I say yes but will not get too carried away in case Baylor does get on a roll.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
College Football Picks 9/27 Part 2
Here are the rest of my plays today.
5 Star Pick
Miami -5 vs Duke
Top Picks
Cincinnati +17 vs Ohio St
LSU/NM St over 56
Leans:
North Carolina/Clemson under 65
Illinois +21.5 vs Nebraska
Miami- This is pretty much as system play. Duke is rolling, cracked the polls and has looked awesome. Miami has lost at L'ville and Nebraska and looked pretty inept doing so. If you ask college fans who is the better team, most everyone will say Duke...yet Miami is the favorite. I will roll with Vegas on this one and pound the Hurricanes.
Cincinnati- Nice spot for Cincinnati to try to steal one here. They probably will lose by 7-10 points but are confident enough and talented enough to make the Buckeyes sweat for most of the game and 17 points are more than enough.
LSU- We have been seeing this mismatches turning ugly with the favorites covering the overs by themselves. I am looking for LSU to follow suit.
North Carolina/Clemson- Battle of two unmotivated teams. Both teams had brutal losses last week and I expect them to show their hangovers and not score much in this game.
Illinois- This is a play against Nebraska. The Huskers laid it all out there last week in an impressive game against Miami. Like their effort against McNeeese state, I am expecting them to be very flat tonight and the Illini will squeak by with the cover.
5 Star Pick
Miami -5 vs Duke
Top Picks
Cincinnati +17 vs Ohio St
LSU/NM St over 56
Leans:
North Carolina/Clemson under 65
Illinois +21.5 vs Nebraska
Miami- This is pretty much as system play. Duke is rolling, cracked the polls and has looked awesome. Miami has lost at L'ville and Nebraska and looked pretty inept doing so. If you ask college fans who is the better team, most everyone will say Duke...yet Miami is the favorite. I will roll with Vegas on this one and pound the Hurricanes.
Cincinnati- Nice spot for Cincinnati to try to steal one here. They probably will lose by 7-10 points but are confident enough and talented enough to make the Buckeyes sweat for most of the game and 17 points are more than enough.
LSU- We have been seeing this mismatches turning ugly with the favorites covering the overs by themselves. I am looking for LSU to follow suit.
North Carolina/Clemson- Battle of two unmotivated teams. Both teams had brutal losses last week and I expect them to show their hangovers and not score much in this game.
Illinois- This is a play against Nebraska. The Huskers laid it all out there last week in an impressive game against Miami. Like their effort against McNeeese state, I am expecting them to be very flat tonight and the Illini will squeak by with the cover.
College Football Picks 9/27 Part 1
Here are my early picks. Make sure to check back this afternoon for my 2nd round as well.
Top Picks
Arkansas +8.5/over 71 and Arkansas Team Total over 31.5
Tennessee Team Total over 20
Maryland/Indiana over 70
Leans
Penn St -10 vs. Northwestern
TCU -31 vs. SMU
Colorado St +7.5 vs Boston College
Arkansas- As you can see I am going all in on the Hogs today. I like that this game is on a neutral field and that although A&M has looked great, they have not been tested. Yes, they beat South Carolina however they definitely caught the Gamecocks napping. Arkansas has had dominant play from their offensive line and will stick to the run game even if they get down. I think they will control the clock and will bust several long runs. A&M of course will not quit on offense so the totals will fly over and I think this game comes down to the last possession so 8.5 points will be more than enough to cover.
Tennessee- Not a lot of pressure on the Vols hear. Worst case scenario they will get some garbage TD's if they are getting blown out but I like the Vols to open it up on offense, take some chances and to score in the 20's.
Maryland/Indiana- Both teams have had some nice wins and will be motivated to win this game. Both teams are offensive minded so putting up points will not be a problem.
Penn St & TCU- Both of these teams are playing teams that have disappointed. The only question is motivation and if Penn St or TCU play lackadasical and allow the dogs to hang around and gain some confidence. I think 2 blowouts is the much more likely scenario for these games.
Colorado St- Both teams will line it and play "smash" football. The question will be which team runs it better and if either team can stop the run. If either team has to rely on their passing game then it will go south pretty quickly for that team.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
College Football Picks 9/20 Part 2
Had a nice morning afternoon slate of games.
Going with a light card tonight.
Top Picks
Clemson +10 and Team Total over 21,5
Leans
LSU -7
Nebraska -7.5
Clemson- I am going with the Tigers in this one. Liked them before the Winston suspension as this is the first time in the recent history that they have been clear underdogs. They will face a fired up Florida St defense but will find ways to score and will be in this game to the end and score over 3 TD's.
LSU- I have gone back and forth on this game and settled on the Tigers. MSU has had talented teams before but have not gotten over the hump and won a road game like this. I think this will be close for a while but the Tigers will pull away and get the cover.
Nebraska- I am throwing out the McNeese St game as an anomaly and outside of that game Nebraska has played well. Miami is a continued work in progress and will not be able to win or cover in this one.
Going with a light card tonight.
Top Picks
Clemson +10 and Team Total over 21,5
Leans
LSU -7
Nebraska -7.5
Clemson- I am going with the Tigers in this one. Liked them before the Winston suspension as this is the first time in the recent history that they have been clear underdogs. They will face a fired up Florida St defense but will find ways to score and will be in this game to the end and score over 3 TD's.
LSU- I have gone back and forth on this game and settled on the Tigers. MSU has had talented teams before but have not gotten over the hump and won a road game like this. I think this will be close for a while but the Tigers will pull away and get the cover.
Nebraska- I am throwing out the McNeese St game as an anomaly and outside of that game Nebraska has played well. Miami is a continued work in progress and will not be able to win or cover in this one.
College Football Picks 9/20 Part 1
Well not a great effort last Saturday, feel good about these picks so hop on board.
5 Star Play
Ga Tech +7.5 vs Va Tech
Top Picks
Iowa +7 vs. Pittsburgh
Texas A&M -34.5 vs SMU
Florida/Alabama under 50.5
Leans
Duke Team Total over 37.5
Akron +9.5 vs Marshall
Virginia +14.5 vs BYU
Writeups:
Ga Tech- I am working the respect angle in this one. Last year Va. Tech had an incredible defensive effort vs Ga Tech's option and they did not miss a chance to pat themselves on their effort whenever they could. This year, Ga Tech has been a little lackluster but I like them to be fully prepared for this game. Va Tech has been up and down and I do think they will be over confident in their defense in this one so definitely take the points and sprinkle Ga Tech on the money line.
Iowa- The Big 10 has taken their lumps but I am looking for them to put together a strong road effort this week. Iowa has played really conservatively on offense and that has not worked. On the road, they should be able to escape the pressure and let it go more. Pittsburgh has won their games but not really in an impressive fashion. I like the winner of this game to win by 3 or 4 points max so getting 7 is more than enough.
Texas A&M- Uh oh, things are not going well for SMU and playing A&M is not the ideal opponent. I like Sumlin to continue to put his stamp on as the "king of Texas" with a blowout win here. 34.5 seems like a lot but don't be surprised if the final differential is in the 50's.
Florida/Bama- Florida's offenses has not been very impressive struggling last week vs. Kentucky. Alabama's offense has been a strength early and their defense is now coming on. Both head coaches are defense oriented at their heart. Those factors are add up to an under to me.
Duke- This is bit of a bandwagon pick. I like the Blue Devils to have another impressive offensive outing against an overmatched Tulane team.
Akron- The zips played Penn St. pretty tough and I expect them to bring their A game at home, Don't get too carried on the Zips though. I expect Marshall to come in a little over confident but if they come in focused then it could be a long day.
Virginia- Both teams have gotten off to solid starts and are looking much improved. These teams went toe to toe last year and I expect Virginia to approach this game expecting to win. They will bring a very respectable effort and easily cover the 14.5.
5 Star Play
Ga Tech +7.5 vs Va Tech
Top Picks
Iowa +7 vs. Pittsburgh
Texas A&M -34.5 vs SMU
Florida/Alabama under 50.5
Leans
Duke Team Total over 37.5
Akron +9.5 vs Marshall
Virginia +14.5 vs BYU
Writeups:
Ga Tech- I am working the respect angle in this one. Last year Va. Tech had an incredible defensive effort vs Ga Tech's option and they did not miss a chance to pat themselves on their effort whenever they could. This year, Ga Tech has been a little lackluster but I like them to be fully prepared for this game. Va Tech has been up and down and I do think they will be over confident in their defense in this one so definitely take the points and sprinkle Ga Tech on the money line.
Texas A&M- Uh oh, things are not going well for SMU and playing A&M is not the ideal opponent. I like Sumlin to continue to put his stamp on as the "king of Texas" with a blowout win here. 34.5 seems like a lot but don't be surprised if the final differential is in the 50's.
Florida/Bama- Florida's offenses has not been very impressive struggling last week vs. Kentucky. Alabama's offense has been a strength early and their defense is now coming on. Both head coaches are defense oriented at their heart. Those factors are add up to an under to me.
Duke- This is bit of a bandwagon pick. I like the Blue Devils to have another impressive offensive outing against an overmatched Tulane team.
Akron- The zips played Penn St. pretty tough and I expect them to bring their A game at home, Don't get too carried on the Zips though. I expect Marshall to come in a little over confident but if they come in focused then it could be a long day.
Virginia- Both teams have gotten off to solid starts and are looking much improved. These teams went toe to toe last year and I expect Virginia to approach this game expecting to win. They will bring a very respectable effort and easily cover the 14.5.
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