Saturday, September 27, 2014

College Football Picks 9/27 Part 1

Here are my early picks. Make sure to check back this afternoon for my 2nd round as well.


Top Picks

Arkansas +8.5/over 71 and Arkansas Team Total over 31.5
Tennessee Team Total over 20
Maryland/Indiana over 70

Leans

Penn St -10 vs. Northwestern
TCU -31 vs. SMU
Colorado St +7.5 vs Boston College

Arkansas- As you can see I am going all in on the Hogs today. I like that this game is on a neutral field and that although A&M has looked great, they have not been tested. Yes, they beat South Carolina however they definitely caught the Gamecocks napping. Arkansas has had dominant play from their offensive line and will stick to the run game even if they get down. I think they will control the clock and will bust several long runs. A&M of course will not quit on offense so the totals will fly over and I think this game comes down to the last possession so 8.5 points will be more than enough to cover.

Tennessee- Not a lot of pressure on the Vols hear. Worst case scenario they will get some garbage TD's if they are getting blown out but I like the Vols to open it up on offense, take some chances and to score in the 20's.

Maryland/Indiana- Both teams have had some nice wins and will be motivated to win this game. Both teams are offensive minded so putting up points will not be a problem.

Penn St & TCU- Both of these teams are playing teams that have disappointed. The only question is motivation and if Penn St or TCU play lackadasical and allow the dogs to hang around and gain some confidence. I think 2 blowouts is the much more likely scenario for these games.

Colorado St- Both teams will line it and play "smash" football. The question will be which team runs it better and if either team can stop the run. If either team has to rely on their passing game then it will go south pretty quickly for that team.


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