Saturday, September 20, 2014

College Football Picks 9/20 Part 1

Well not a great effort last Saturday, feel good about these picks so hop on board.

5 Star Play

Ga Tech +7.5 vs Va Tech

Top Picks

Iowa +7 vs. Pittsburgh
Texas A&M -34.5 vs SMU
Florida/Alabama under 50.5

Leans

Duke Team Total over 37.5
Akron +9.5 vs Marshall
Virginia +14.5 vs BYU

Writeups:

Ga Tech- I am working the respect angle in this one. Last year Va. Tech had an incredible defensive effort vs Ga Tech's option and they did not miss a chance to pat themselves on their effort whenever they could. This year, Ga Tech has been a little lackluster but I like them to be fully prepared for this game. Va Tech has been up and down and I do think they will be over confident in their defense in this one so definitely take the points and sprinkle Ga Tech on the money line.

Iowa- The Big 10 has taken their lumps but I am looking for them to put together a strong road effort this week. Iowa has played really conservatively on offense and that has not worked. On the road, they should be able to escape the pressure and let it go more. Pittsburgh has won their games but not really in an impressive fashion. I like the winner of this game to win by 3 or 4 points max so getting 7 is more than enough.

Texas A&M- Uh oh, things are not going well for SMU and playing A&M is not the ideal opponent. I like Sumlin to continue to put his stamp on as the "king of Texas" with a blowout win here. 34.5 seems like a lot but don't be surprised if the final differential is in the 50's.

Florida/Bama- Florida's offenses has not been very impressive struggling last week vs. Kentucky. Alabama's offense has been a strength early and their defense is now coming on. Both head coaches are defense oriented at their heart. Those factors are add up to an under to me.

Duke- This is bit of a bandwagon pick. I like the Blue Devils to have another impressive offensive outing against an overmatched Tulane team.

Akron- The zips played Penn St. pretty tough and I expect them to bring their A game at home, Don't get too carried on the Zips though. I expect Marshall to come in a little over confident but if they come in focused then it could be a long day.

Virginia- Both teams have gotten off to solid starts and are looking much improved. These teams went toe to toe last year and I expect Virginia to approach this game expecting to win. They will bring a very respectable effort and easily cover the 14.5.

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