Saturday, May 26, 2012

NBA Celtics/76'ers Game 7

Lean

Taking the under 169.5 in this one however this series has been pretty hard to predict so I would go light.


Thursday, May 24, 2012

NBA Heat Pacers Game 6

Big night for Indiana.

We all know the story line about Larry Bird calling them soft. The hidden story though is the pressure on Pacer's coach Frank Vogel. Everyone focuses on Bird's comments as being towards the players but I see it as being directed towards the coach.

When Indiana was winning, they were controlling the paint and the tempo and not letting LeBron and Wade get into the open court where they thrive. The last 2 games, the Pacers have not done that and of course have lost.

Look for a very focused effort tonight from the Pacers starting with the head coach as they get back to the game plan that was successful.

Top Pick

Indiana +2.5 and the Pacers should get the straight up win.

Sunday, May 20, 2012

NBA 5/20

Nice win last night with the Thunder coming through in a real tough game. Going back to Staples center with another pick. Top Pick San Antonio/Clippers under 191 With the Spurs up 3-0 and the Clippers having shot their wad in their first round series win over the Grizzlies I expect the Spurs to wrap things up tonight. I also expect this game to be relatively ugly, the Clippers don't have ay any real matchup advantages and a real disadvantage at the head coach spot. Look for a real slow second half as the Spurs grind them down and move in a game the goes under 191.

Saturday, May 19, 2012

NBA 5/19

Big day for sports in Los Angeles today. However the Clippers lost and i expect the Lakers to go down tonight as well. Top Pick OKC +1 vs Lakers The Lakers were able to scratch a much needed victory out last night but it was a dog fight and I firmly believe the Thunder are the better team and will prevail tonight. Although the Lakers have gotten contributions from a lot of players, the Lakers have been depending on Kobe primarily, Neither Bynun or Gasol has asserted themselves and i think that will be exposed tonight. The Thunder will pressure Kobe and the Thunder have enough inside to handle the Laker's big men. Westbrook has been pretty quiet and i expect him to assert himself as the Thunder take the crucial 3-1 lead,

Saturday, May 12, 2012

NBA 5/12

Kudos to the NBA for keeping things moving and getting the Celtics/Sixers series going.

Top Pick

Celtics/76'ers over 171.5- I say jump on this over and then plan on playing the under for most of the other games in this series. The first game of the series of course is the least stressful game and most likely for teams to play pretty loose and take some chances that they don't in later game series.

If you followed the bulls/sixers series then you noticed most of the games went under but I do like this to make it over as the final score should be around 93-87 or so.

Nuggs/Lakers- No official pick in this one but if you are itching to play then I would go with the Lakers -5. However i can see the Lakers struggling but i think Bynum will bring his A game and if so then they should take of business.

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

NBA 5/8

Well the Lakers/Nuggets hit the brakes on offense in the 2nd half, especially the Nuggets so the over did not work.

Looking at tonite's games a couple of leans:

Parlay Bulls -220 and under 171.5- if the Bulls can get their act together and get a win, we certainly know it will not be due to their offense. I like the Bulls to win a close one in an ugly game that hit under.

Lakers/Nuggets under 197.5- When the Lakers win, they usually have a strong defensive game to go with it. I think the Lakers will close it out and in the process take the game under.


Sunday, May 6, 2012

NBA Picks 5/6

1-1 yesterday taking tough no cover by the Clippers who won but did not hit their free throws costing the cover. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City looked like a championship contender taking care of business on the road.

One play for tonight-

Top  Pick
Lakers/Nuggets over 201- generally I am not a big proponent of taking the over too often in playoff games as both teams usually feel the pressure of the game and either slow things down or hit a scoring drought when things go badly.

However, the Laker's played pretty awful in game three and the Nuggets took full advantage. The Nuggets will look to push the tempo again and the Lakers who would like to slow it down but will need to play at a faster pace on the road. I don't think the Lakers will be a fast break machine but they will try to score early in the possession before the Nuggets can put the double teams in place like they did in game 3.

I am leaning towards the Nuggets to win but definitely like the over.

Saturday, May 5, 2012

NBA 5/5

Here are a couple of picks to pump up your Cinco de Mayo plans!

Top Picks

LA Clippers -3 vs Grizzlies
OKC -2 vs Dallas

Unfortunately I don't time for extensive writeups. Clip's game will be close but they will be able use the inside out game to cover this one.
OKC game will be tough but this game will swing in the 4th quarter as Dallas realizes their season is coming to an end and will fold like most teams do when facing an elimination game. OKC has the killer instinct to get it done.

Tuesday, May 1, 2012

NBA Picks 5/1

Nice 2-0 start on Sunday...what the Grizzlies didn't cover? They blew a 25 point 4th quarter lead? Oh yeah.

So it was 1-1 on Sunday.

Top Pick

Bulls -6.5 vs Philadelphia

Look for the Bulls to play very focused today and for the home crowd to energize them during this game. The Bulls have a big advantage inside and will go inside out in this game and open things up for Rip and Korver later in the game. The series will get tough on the road for the Bulls but they will get this one.

Lean

Lakers -4.5 vs Nuggets

Pretty low spread here makes me a little nervous picking the Lakers. However I think they will stay focused again in this one and the Nuggets won't be ready to take this game on the road. However it does look a little too easy...so don't get too carried away on this game.