Saturday, September 7, 2013

College Football 9/7 Part 1

There are not a whole lot of marquee games this week but no worries, games are always fun to watch when you picked the winning side.

Here are my winners for the morning/early afternoon games. Back around 3pm CST with my part 2 picks.

Top Picks:

South Florida +23 vs Michigan St
Bowling Green -6.5 vs Kent st

Leans:

Cincinnati -8.5 vs Illinois
Middle Tenn +17.5 vs North Carolina
Boise St -35 vs Tenn Martin
San Diego St +28.5 vs Ohio St

Big Games (non official picks)

Miami/Florida under 47.5 and 1st half under 24
Georgia -3 vs South Carolina

Writeups:

S. Florida- The Bulls are coming off a rough, embarrasing loss and will be looking to get the bad taste out of their mouths. Mich St had a ho hum victory and their offense looked pretty average. I wonder can Mich St score 23 points much less cover a spread of 23. The Bulls will keep this one well within the number.

Bowling Green- They had a strong week one performance and I like them to pick up where they left off last week with a notable exception, they will be more confident on offense knowing that their defense can erase any mistakes they make. Kent had an uninspiring win in week one and I don't see them bringing enough weapons to seriously challenge BGSU or covering the spread.

Cincinnati- I put this game in the too easy category. They seemingly have a big talent differential vs Illinois and looks like they should coast. So I will go with the Bearcats but it will be relatively conservative.

Middle Tenn- This team is confident and will be looking to get a high profile win. Their mindset will be to win this game vs. make a good showing. North Carolina did some nice things vs. South Carolina but will be in a bit of letdown mode for this one. They have this game as a win in their mind and will be challenged. Take the generous points.

Boise- The Broncos got stomped last week and will be in a foul mood for this one. Look for a big first half and then for them to hold on in the 2nd half.

San Diego St - Aztecs were another team that had a brutal opening week effort. They will play much better this week. A word of caution is that Ohio St. did not play all that well either so they will be looking for a better effort. This will be a scary one but the Aztecs will do enough to cover the spread.

Big Games:

Miami/Florida- I am looking for an old school fight in this one. Speed on defense will be the key in this game as neither team will be able to score easily.

Georgia- I am not really buying South Carolina yet so I like UGA to win this one at home.

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