Saturday, September 29, 2012

College Football Picks 9/29

Got the winning starting early with Washington, and I expect to keep it going with a big Saturday. This will probably be my one post for today. Add me to your twitter feed to get any late additions for this afternoon/evening.

5 Star Plays

E. Carolina -4 vs UTEP

Top Plays

Boston College +7 vs Clemson
Minnesota +7 vs Iowa
UNLV +20.5 vs Utah St
UCLA/Colorado over 59.5

Leans

Mich St -2 vs Ohio St
Texas A&M -13.5 vs Arkansas
S. Carolina -21 vs Kentucky
Indiana/Northwestern over 59.5

Writeups

E. Carolina- this picked is based on the matchup but more importantly the schedule for E. Carolina. The Pirates are coming off 3 straight away games and return to campus with a conference game. Although they went 1-2 on the 3 games, they won the one that counts- a conference win vs. Miss. Now they return home with a chance to go 2-0 in their division and get an early lead. Couple that with the fact that these teams are pretty evenly matched and UTEP is not a real threat and I love E. Carolina to come out and take care of business. ECU will win this game by 10-14 points so lay the wood and take the money.

Boston College- Another nice home dog. The line has come down a lot probably due to the Sammy Watkins injury however I liked BC well before that announcement. BC has been more or less left for dead as the perception is that they need a coaching change. That may be true however they have been playing well and are catching Clemson at the perfect time. After a tough loss (but cover) vs Florida St, the Tigers will be in letdown mode so take advantage. Also this is a good spot to take BCon the money line (+195)

Minnesota- This is another perception pick. mos people don't think Minnesota is as good as their record and that Iowa will get things going. I am not so sure about either of those. Minn has played well in each of their games and are conforming to their coach's system in year number two. Iowa has not showed much. Also Minnesota has had recent success so they will be confident coming into this one. Take the points for sure and  also consider a money line play as well (+220)

UNLV- I was all over the Rebels last week and will jump back on the bandwagon this week. They are on the road and playing a tough team in Utah St however I think they are still underrated and much better than their power number indicates. I don't think they will win this one but will keep it close and easily cover the big spread.

UCLA/CU- Give the Buffs alot of credit for stepping up. I like that their offense came alive and their defense was able to take advantage of mistakes by WSU. UCLA hit a wall last week and will be eager to get back on track this week. Neither team has a very good defense and I expect both teams to rely on their offenses to win. Look for both teams to get into the 30's and the winner to score 40, easily getting this game over.

Mich St- One of the marquee matchups today. I do like the Spartans to have learned what they need to do to beat a quality since their loss to ND. The Spartans defense will step up big and handle the OSU offense and the Mich St offense will do enough to get the win and cover the 2.

A&M- keep fading the Hogs. A&M will take advantage of an Arkansas team in turmoil.

S. Carolina- ditto to the above. The end is near for Joker Phillips after another brutal loss today.

Indiana/NU- biting on this one. NWU has a very good offense and despite their results, I am not sold on the NWU defense. I like a high scoring affair in this one.


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