Saturday, September 15, 2012

College Football Picks 9/15 Part 2

OK- Moving on to the afternoon games and both 5 star plays. Will be back once more for the night games.

5 Star Play

Missouri -3 vs Arizona St
Alabama -20.5 vs Arkansas

Top Plays


Northwestern -3.5 vs Boston College
Louisville -3.5 vs North Carolina

Lean
Navy +6.5 vs Penn St


Writeups

Missouri- OK, in the world of over reactions, cooler heads need to prevail in this pick. Yes, Missouri lost at home to Georgia and could not back up their big talk and yes there has been an offensive revival in the first 2 games for ASU but let's look a little deeper. ASU played an Illinois team that came in knowing that they were not going to win with their backup QB and played like it. Missouri battled Georgia and played pretty well until the wheels fell off later in the game.

The big key for me here is that ASU has been playing in the comforts of their own home and now is on the road. Home field is still a big advantage in college and most teams struggle in their first away game and I don't think ASU is an elite team that will be able to come into a hostile environment and dominate. Missouri will be highly motivated in this one and has in my opinion better talent. I am confident that Missouri wins this game in blowout fashion.


Alabama- Unless you are a bama fan, this will be an ugly, lopsided game. Unless Arkansas can play the game of their lives on the offensive line and at qb, this will be a thrashing by Bama. Arkansas' qb likely won't play and the backup will be running for his life. Look out below if you are a razorback.



Northwestern- I was wrong last week picking Vandy to win. Although Vandy had a strong first half, they really suffered when NWU regrouped at half time and made some impressive adjustments. BC is coming in with a pretty talented team however they really do not have enough weapons to take advantage of the Wildcat's defensive weaknesses. NWU's offense also really ran the ball well last week and if they can get the pass game going today, will have an easy time getting the win and the cover.

L'Ville- The Cardinals have gotten off to a nice start and will have a good test in UNC today. UNC suffered a tough loss on the road and will be facing an even better offense and defense this week in the Cardinals. This should be a back and forth game for a while however the home field advantage and L'ville's overall strength will lead to the victory and cover.

Navy- critical game for both teams. Navy has had to live with their poor performance for 2 weeks and will be a much better team. Penn St should be able to push Navy around a bit so this will be a close game either way but I like Navy to hang around and get the cover.


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