Thursday, September 15, 2011

LSU at Mississippi St Pick

Looking forward to a good game tonight with a lot of athletes on the field making plays.

Top Pick

LSU/Miss St Under 50
Miss St +3.5

Writeup:

For those who enjoyed the NFL kickoff game last Thursday, you should check this game out as well as many of the players on these teams will be playing on Sundays.

Although both of these teams have been scoring a lot of points in their first two games, both teams are defensive and run oriented at heart and I think that will come through tonight. Miss St definitely get caught looking ahead last week against Auburn and did not take the Tigers seriously enough and paid the price. Meanwhile LSU started the season in very impressive fashion and took care of business last week vs a lesser opponent.

I am looking for Miss St to have a much better defensive effort than last week. Having a short week should work in favor of both defenses as each team's offense will have to focus on their basic game plans and there will not be as many wrinkles. More importantly, both teams take pride in defense and each team will be looking to prove themselves and I expect a lot of hard hits and big defensive plays when it counts.

I also think taking the points with Miss St is the way to go although it will not be easy. I expect both coaches to remain fairly conservative and not to take too many chances especially in the red zone. One reason Miss St came out flat last week against Auburn was that they were looking ahead to this game and I think in front of a raucous home crowd they will play inspired football and get the cover if not the win straight up.

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