Saturday, September 24, 2011

College Football Picks 9/24 Part 1

Bounceback Week!

Here we go. I am looking for a big Saturday after last week. Here is the lineup including 2 five star picks on this post and one more coming later.

5 Star Sides

Colorado/Ohio St under 47.5
Clemson -2 vs Florida St

Top Sides

San Diego St +10
Toledo +2 and over 55 vs Syracuse
Maryland -9.5 vs Temple

Leans

Ga. Tech -7 vs North Carolina
Ok St/Texas A&M over 67.5

Writeups:

Colorado/Ohio St- I really like the under in this game. Ohio St's strength is their defense and now they are starting a freshman at QB. The fact that the game is at home adds some extra pressure on head coach Luke Fickell. I look for their coach to focus on field position, relying on their defense and limiting offensive mistakes in this game. Colorado is a work in progress and is very unlikely to light it up in this game. It probably won't be a very entertaining game to watch but should be enjoyable if you are playing the under.

Clemson- Great spot for Clemson to get a marquee win. The Tigers are always fighting for respect and they come into this game with momentum and are catching FSU off a let down situation. For the Seminoles, I don't like their QB situation, if Manuel plays, he likely will be limited and if the backup comes back in it will be in a situation where the Clemson staff will have game planned for him and will be ready to challenge him. I have seen many times over a year when a backup comes in mid game and plays pretty welll but then the following week, knowing they are playing and hearing all they hype comes out flat. I think that is pretty likely here and Clemson gets it done.

San Diego St- I like the Aztecs here. Forget the whole Brady Hoke factor, look back at Michigan against ND. They had trouble most of the game handling ND's run/pass game and ND left a lot of points on the table. I don't Michigan can count on getting lucky again and this will be another very formidable offense they will be facing. I am confident that SDSU will give Michigan all they can handle and can definitely win this game.

Toledo- Big swing game for Toledo. They really need to get a 2nd win to help their bowl eligibility. I think that their tough early schedule against Ohio St and Boise St will pay dividends when they go to Syracuse. The Orangemen have struggled a bit but will be up at home for this game. I think both teams will score but Toledo will prevail at the end and get the win.

Maryland- Both the Terps and Temple are coming off tough losses but in different fashions. Maryland made their game respectful and can build off it. Temple should have and suffered a really tough defeat in a game they should have won. I think their will be a big hangover effect for Temple and Maryland rolls.

Ga. Tech- I am going to jump on the bandwagon and look for the triple option to roll over an uninspired Carolina team.

OK St/Texas A&M- This will be a fun game to watch. I need a lot of points to get their but I think it will happen.

No comments:

Post a Comment