Saturday, September 6, 2014

College Football Picks 9/6 Part 1

Here is my early card.

Top Picks

Alabama/FAU under 50.5
Ball St +20 vs. Iowa
Central Michigan +3 vs Purdue
East Carolina +15 vs. S. Carolina
Colorado St +9 vs. Boise St

Bama/FAU- How often does a team win by 10 points and yet be embarrassed by their performance. That is what happened for Bama and due to the high standard they have set for themselves. Their defensive effort was beat up pretty bad and no doubt that Saban and his coaches are not going to let that happen again vs FAU. I am looking for a shutout from the Bama defense today or at worst one TD which should get the under there.

Ball St- Both Ball St and Iowa had below expectation performances last week. I like both teams to be competitive in their leagues and get markedly better as the season goes on. I think Iowa will control this one but will make enough mistakes giving Ball St the opportunities to cover the big number.

Central Michigan- Purdue played much better than last year in their opener this year however you can see that they have plenty of holes to fill still. C. Michigan will come in expecting to win this game and has the talent to do so. I will be sprinkling some action on the CMU money line as well as I like them to get the victory today.

E. Carolina- this is a game that I had identified in my preseason research thinking that S. Carolina's defense would be a work in progress early in the season and their offense is generally not prolific. I was not expecting the Gamecocks to get trounced in week 1 so I think S. Carolina will be better prepared for this game then what I originally expected. Nevertheless, 15 points is too much to pass up on as the Pirates will come in confident and will put points up and cover the number.

Colorado St- In my world, CSU easily wins the eye test in this game. I think that Boise backers are going on reputation and Boise's past performance. Well I think that CSU will come into this game ready to and Boise will have trouble getting their confidence up. Boise's offense will need quite a bit of improvement if they are going to win by double digits and I don't see that happening this week. This is another game to drop some money on CSU moneyline as well and I will likely double up and take CSU in the first half.

I will be back with more picks including the high profile games.

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