SuperBowl Picks and Props

Superbowl Day-

I like the Broncos to win so I am taking them on the $line. For props, my buddy has done very well over the years betting SB props so here are his top prop picks and then mine below.

"Props to hit:

Welker over 55 yds...all my predictions have him no less than 72 yds on 8 catches...they will hit him for 9 yd gains in the slot all day.  Seattle will cover the outside of the field and Denver te Thomas leaving Welker in a one on one foot race in the middle of the field.

Peyton ovr 288 yds...he will throw enough passes to get there

more pts 2nd half...Seattle will have to abandon game plan and take advantage of Denvers secondary..3rd down completions by seatttle and denver keeping the pedal to the medal will be the 2nd half theme.

over 695 total net yds...see reasons above

tate and Baldwin over 45 yds...expect to hit both but one of these will hit no problem

Peyton over 2tds...no worse than a push

Wilson over 211 yds..This is the sb he will throw the end and again get big chunks in the 2nd half.

Team to get opening ko-Denver-  If Denver wins they want the ball...if Seatle wins, stubborn carrol will want to get his d on the field and he does not want Peyton to potentially have last drive in the 2nd and first in the 3rd...Who would?

First to score:

Harvin

Balwin

Harvin 

Tate

Wilson

Welker

The odds are better than the denver players and just a hunch...all at least 15/1 except welker  7/1

Last to score:

Monte Ball-

Has scored the last tds in 3 denver wins as he is a bruiser."

My prop picks-

I am on Marshawn Lynch longest rush over 19.5. He will break off at least one long run.

Moreno over 25.5 receiving yards. I like him to get a bunch of dump offs. 

Denver over 2.5 sacks, banking that Russell will rather take a sack or it throw it away vs. risking a bad down field pass.

My top prop is for Manning to score a rushing TD. I really think if the opportunity is there, Manning will run a bootleg at the goal line and get a rushing TD. Lock that one if you can find it!