College Football Picks 10/19 - Part 1

I have been waiting for a big Saturday and it has arrived.

5 Star Plays

Florida -3 vs Missouri
Indiana +9.5 vs Michigan
Stanford -4.5 vs UCLA
Arizona St -3.5 vs Washington

Top Picks

Northern Ill -15.5 vs c. Michigan
LSU/Mississipi over 60
Florida/Missouri Under 44

Leans
Houston +10 vs BYU
Utah +4 vs Arizona

Florida- Great spot for the Gators here. Catching Missouri off a big, emotional win and dealing with the loss of their qb. I do expect Missouri's defense to step up and play well however they will be on the field all day and will wear out. This will be a tough, gritty game and if you have Florida big, there will be some tense moments but the Gators will come through in the end.

Indiana- My twitter followers saw that I called this one out last Saturday after the Michigan loss. The wolverines will have a very tough time getting up for this game and not to mention that UM is just not that great of a team. Don't forget that they have struggled and really don't have a signature win. (Sorry ND does not count). Don't get sucked into the historical facts that IU can't beat Michigan at Michigan. It is very likely to happen here and the points are a given.

Stanford- On paper, UCLA should roll. They are a top 10 team, can spread Stanford out and Stanford struggled big time last week. The big stat for me is that despite all of the accolades coming to UCLA, Vegas made the Stanford a favorite. Since then the money has come in on UCLA just like the books had hoped. Be the smart one in the room and hit Stanford big!

Arizona St- Poor Washington, they are in the midst of a brutal schedule. On 2nd thought get a new AD who knows how to schedule better. First a tough loss to Stanford, then an emotional loss to Oregon and now they are headed to an ambush in the desert. Arizona St is a really good team at home and Washington will be out of gas in this one. Jump on this one as well. Easy.

Northern ILL- This team for some reasons does better with the big spreads on the road. C. Michigan is way down from the last time they beat the Huskies and will be in a for a beat down. NIU has the advantage at just about every position in talent.

LSU/Ole Miss- I am expecting a pretty high scoring game. LSU is not the type of team you want to face after a tough loss. I don't expect Ole Miss to lay down and although they will not stop LSU much, they will make it interesting with their offense.

Houston- Good spot for the Cougars to sneak away a win here. BYU has played a great schedule and will not be hyped to head to Houston. The Cougars have the better talent but they will not be sharp and Houston will give them all they can handle.

Utah- Just a lean here. Getting on the bandwagon late but I like them to bring their vastly improved offense against an Arizona team that is lacking. The Rich Rod struggles continue.