Saturday, October 5, 2013

College Football 10/5 Part 2

2-3 on the AM picks, looking for a big evening with these games:



Top Picks

Vandy +2 vs Missouri
Notre Dame +6 vs Arizona St
Baylor/WVU over 70
Baylor Team Total over 50
NU +6.5 vs Ohio St

Lean

Stanford Team Total over 30.5
Colorado Team Total over 14.5

Writeups:

Vandy- Record wise, Mizzoo looks better on paper. However, we all know that Mizzoo has played a very soft schedule and probably are not as good as their record indicates. Vandy has played the more difficult schedule and I think that will count for something in this game. Mizzoo will make some big plays early however Vandy will not give in and will play this one all the way through and get the win.

Notre Dame- The Fighting Irish have been the team to fade so far this year but I am ready to get on their side this week. They played some pretty uninspired football last week and will not let that happen 2 weeks in a row. Arizona st meanwhile has been played well but the breaks have gone their way. They benefited from the refs vs. Wisconsin and then caught USC at the perfect time. The reality is that they are a good but not great team and will run into a motivated ND team. They might eek out the win but it will be closer than 6 points if they do.

Baylor- I have to keep going with the over on this team. They continue to put up points at a rapid pace. WVU pulled out a gritty win last week but they are facing a much different animal this week. I am sure that WVU will be happy to play in a fast paced game and will put up some points and the over will hit. However I don't see them stopping Baylor at any point. I am looking for a 66-45 type final.

NU- Everyone knows the hype on this one. The biggest reason I like NU is that Ohio St will be facing their first meaningful road game in quite a while. Eventhough they were undefeated last year, there was not much pressure on them. Especially once the BCS standings came out and they were no longer in the mix for the championship due to their violations. So they had some tough games which they won but essentially they were meaningless. This game however will knock them out of BCS championship contention if they lose. I look for the Buckeyes to tighten up quite a bit as this game progresses. NU will feed off that and will certainly cover the 6.5 and I will not be surprised if they win the game.

Stanford and Colorado- I am not sure what the outcomes ATS will be however I do like both teams to cover their team totals at home.








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