Top Pick
Miami -6.5
Illinois St -2
Illinois -3.5
Leans
Clemson/Miami over 122
Illinois/Northwester over 129
Writeups:
Miami- I had Florida St in essentially the same spot earlier in the week and I am not really sure how the Seminoles managed to cover the game. Clemson of course will have a very loud crowd behind them and will play tough defense however I do like the Hurricane's tremendous firepower to be able to find a way to break through their defense and score. Once they get a lead, Clemson will not be able to come back. Look for the Hurricanes to win and cover at the free throw line.
Illinois- Tough to figure out Northwestern however Illinois has the talent edge and will have a lot of road support as their fans will be about 45% of the total crowd. NU shot the three really well against Ohio St and I am betting that they will shoot a lower percent tonight and Illinois will be able to control the boards. Look for a close first half and then for NU's poor shooting to do them in the 2nd half.
Illinois St- Great spot for ISU to get back into the tourney conversation. they have a talented team and played poorly for a stretch but are back on their games now. Wichita St is a strong team but they will not be up to the task tonight as the Redbirds get their signature win and cover.
I am recommending both overs as well as a hedge in case either NU or Clemson are hitting their 3's. If that happens, the overs will get there.
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