Monday, January 7, 2013

BCS National Championship Game

Just like that the football season is coming to a close. Here is my breakdown of the game and how to bet it.

First Quarter and Half.

I expect Notre Dame to be ready offensively. We know that ND's success has been result of their magnificent defense. However Brian Kelly is an offensive mind and he will script the first 10-15 plays and his team will execute. I do expect ND to score on their first possession, likely a touchdown.

Bet ND to score first +150

Alabama on the other side has offensive talent better than ND has seen all season. Bama will not come out and score right away but they will not be shut down by ND and will throw some wrinkles at the Irish which the Irish will not be expecting and their speed will catch ND by surprise. Ultimately both offenses will do better than expected in the first half.

Predicted half time score Irish 14 and Bama 10 or 14. Either way take the Irish +6 first half and over 20.5 first half.

2nd half, the game will slow down as both team's defenses make adjustments. I expect Bama to take the lead in the 2nd half and to be leading by 4 going into the 4th quarter. ND will be leaning heavily on the run game and their stud TE Eifert.

Take the over (4.5) on catches for Eifert as he will end up with about 7 total catches.

4th quarter- I expect the score to be Bama 20 ND 14. Here is where it gets exciting.

Either ND will win the game or commit a terrible turnover which will lead to a Bama TD. I hate to say it but I think it will be a terrible turnover. ND will be shut out in the 2nd quarter and shouts of SEC SEC will be ringing in the air.

Final Score Bama 27 Irish 14.

Lay the 10.5 and be ready to pounce on Bama and the under in the 2nd half.


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