Sunday, March 20, 2011

NCAA Tourney Picks 3/20

Yesteday was a big day for the top seeds (except Pittsburh) and for those betting favorites where just about every favorite covered despite being challenged.

I think today will be a good day for underdogs:

5 Star

I do like one favorite today Notre Dame -5 vs Florida St. Everyone in the world is falling over themselves to pat the Seminole's on the back for their defense. It is pretty good but A&M missed a lot of open shots in the 2nd half. If ND has those same looks (which they will) then they will knock them down. Meanwhile, FSU is just not a good offensive team and they will slowly let this one get away from them.

Marquette +5 vs Syracuse- Curious spread in my opinion, I think this one is based on perception. Syracuse has a lot of national exposure while Marquette does not have many household names and people gravitate to the teams they know. Marquette beat them once and don't be surprised if they get the win here.

Top Picks

VA Commonwealth +9.5 vs Purdue- I think that Purdue is the better team but I see a dog fight here as Purdue will not be able shut down Va Commonwealth and the 9.5 points are too many in this matchup.

Arizona +5.5 vs Texas- The longhorns at one point were getting it done on defense but that has slipped as the seasaon has worn on. Against good offensive teams they have struggled. Zona can fill it up and will give the Longhorns a run for the money and cover the 5.5.

Illinois +8.5 vs Kansas- Finally Illinois played to their potential on Friday. Look for that momentum to continue and for the Illini to come out and play well. We'll see if Kansas can handle the pressure or if it will catch up to them and they fizzle. Either way, 8.5 points will be more than enough for the Illini.

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