Saturday, September 25, 2010

Saturday 9/25 Picks

5* Plays


BYU -+4 vs Nevada
Bama/Arkansa over 55


Top Plays

Stanford -4.5 vs Notre Dame
Fresno St + 2.5 vs Ole Miss
Va Tech -4.5 vs Boston College
Oregon -11.5 vs Arizona St.

Leans
NC St +8.5 vs Ga Tech
Iowa -28 vs Ball St
Colorado St +7.5 vs Idaho

Writeups

BYU- this is a nice spot for the Cougars. Sure they laid an egg against Florida St but that was on the road. This game will be back at home against a team that has played well at home but has not done it on the road. The Cougars will not be thinking of themselves as an underdog here and will come with the SU victory.


Don’t be surprised to see a completely different Wolfpack team on the road here and for their high powered offense to sputter before the rabid home crowd.

Bama/Arkansas over- Last year Bama was all about their defense. This year they have a stellar offense and we know what Arkansas can do. I think this will be quite a game with a lot of big plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. I don’t see either defense being able to stop the other team. Looking at their schedules, neither team has played a decent offensive team so don’t be surprised by a high scoring game.

Stanford- Like Iowa, ND lost a tough game last week. Unlike Iowa, I don’t see the Irish bouncing back against Stanford. I have seen quite a few pundits saying that Stanford will be looking ahead or having a let down. I don’t see that and likely see the opposite. A convincing win over ND is always a feather in the cap.

The Cardinal are getting the respect they deserve slowly and this game will put them in the spotlight. ND has not faced a sophisticated pass offense and they will need a brilliant offensive performance to keep it close. I don’t think that will happen…at all.


Fresno St- We all know the Bulldogs motto of going any place any time for a game. This is a real nice spot for them to continue to build on that legend. Ole Miss is usually a formidable place to come and play but Fresno will not be in awe and they have more talent than the rebels. The Fresno St qb has waited patiently for his shot and is making the most of it and will be the best QB on the field and will lead his team to victory.

Va Tech – OK, I think the light finally went on for the Hokies last week. Their loss to JMU was really a fluke and now it is time for this team to focus on winning the ACC. Even if the Hokies had beat Boise St they would not really have been in contention for the national championship game long term.

However, they are a legitimate threat to win the ACC. Boston College is getting better and is settling down to be a good team but Va Tech has the edge in talent and that will show over the 4 quarters.

Oregon- I am going to stay with the hot hand here. It is a road game in conference but Oregon has a lot of firepower that I don’t see the home team being able to match over all 4 quarters. Also like Stanford this is a nice tuneup for next week’s game which will likely decide the PAC 10.

North Carolina St- The points look good to me with this matchup. These teams are pretty evenly matched and I don’t see the Tech homefield advantage being that significant. The Wolfpack are lead by a veteran QB who should keep his composure. I am not calling for NC st to win the game but I feel they will keep it within a TD.

Iowa- Tough loss last week for the Hawkeyes as many of saw. Some teams would start to fold after a loss like that but I am confident that this Hawkeye team will bounce back strong. Ball St does not have a lot going on and this game represents a pay day as opposed to them having a legitimate shot at winning. Look for a six TD victory.

Colorado St- Dare I really give this team out again after 2 ATS drubbings. The reason I like them is simply because of the line. Looking at how they played and how Idaho has played, they should be a bigger dog. Yet, the line is only started at 7 and has not moved up. In their first game at home, they get their first ATS win.

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